H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Jabbar Gibson ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has actually reinforced decently because Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy should turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has become less specific. Tammy was at first expected to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer guidance is now suggesting that the storm might wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and very effective cyclone that caused massive damage and significant death. It is the costliest cyclone to ever hit the United States, surpassing the record formerly held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding triggered by engineering flaws in the flood defense system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to large locations in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone warnings have now been provided for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests cyclone conditions are anticipated in some of these locations. You can see the most recent warnings and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy ought to spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (locally as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might cause flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were taking place over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.
Norma is expected to be a little weaker by the time it strikes land, however it still will be a hurricane that could bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a few hundred thousand individuals, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has triggered cyclone warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island countries and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a hazard to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy maintained maximum continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 typhoon was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic given that 1900, according to hurricane specialist Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic since 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon professionals previously warned cyclones might form in unusual locations later in the season this year because of the exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most serious risks and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rain overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will start to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy